Jay Hanson’s Home Page Search This Web Site
"Industry deregulation of electric utilities in the U.S. has cut utility investment in energy saving programmes by 45 percent." [Reuters, 10/02/98]
OVERSHOOT LOOP: Evolution Under The Maximum Power Principle, by Jay Hanson, 11/12/2013
VISIONS OF EQUILIBRIA DANCED THROUGH THEIR HEADS, by Jay Hanson, 7/30/2012
ENERGETIC LIMITS TO GROWTH, by Jay Hanson, ENERGY Magazine, Spring, 1999
THERMO/GENE COLISION, by Jay Hanson, The Social Contract, Spring 2007
POPULATION CRASH: Prospects For Famine in the Twenty-First Century, by Carleton Schade and David Pimentel, Environment, Development and Sustainability, v. 12, pp. 242-262.
EUR: For the last 50 years, many geologists and oil companies have published estimates of the total amount of crude oil that will ultimately be recovered from the Earth over all time. Remarkably, these assessments of EUR oil have varied little over the past half century and global oil production is now expected to peak around 2005!
FIVE FUNDAMENTAL ERRORS: The Short Version, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001
METHANE MADNESS: A NATURAL GAS PRIMER, by Randy Udall & Steve Andrews, 04/13/2001
Analysis of the IEO2001 Non-OPEC Supply Projections, by Roger D. Blanchard, Northern Kentucky University, 4/9/2001
Emergy Accounting, April 2000, Howard T. Odum, Environmental Engineering Sciences,University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA; mailto:email@example.com
"Oceanic Hydrates: more questions than answers" by Jean Laherrere e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org for Energy Exploration and Exploitation date May 3, 2000
THE PEAK OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION AND THE ROAD TO THE OLDUVAI GORGE, by Richard C. Duncan, Ph.D., Pardee Keynote Symposia, Geological Society of America, Summit 2000, Reno, Nevada, November 13, 2000.
THE BEST-KEPT SECRET IN WASHINGTON, Brain Food -- Third Quarter, 1999
ENERGY AND RESOURCE QUALITY, by Charles A.S. Hall, et al. (1992)
Is USGS 2000 assessment reliable ?, by Jean Laherrere; e-mail: email@example.com; May 2, 2000; published on the cyberconference of the WEC on May 19, 2000
NOT ALL FIRST WORLD ECONOMIES DEPEND ON POPULATION GROWTH: IMMIGRATION SINCE THE OIL SHOCK IN FRANCE AND EUROPE, By Sheila Newman; mailto:firstname.lastname@example.org
Oceanic Hydrates: an elusive resource, by e-mail: email@example.com
THE HUBBERT CURVE : ITS STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES; by J.H. Laherr¨re e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
An Analysis of U.S. and World Oil Production Patterns Using Hubbert-Style Curves, by Albert A. Bartlett, Department of Physics, University of Colorado at Boulder, 80309-0390; Albert.Bartlett@Colorado.EDU
"Quels sont les probl¨mes quand on parle de reserves?", Jean Laherr¨re e-mail: email@example.com site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere ; Conference AFTP du 31 Mars 1999 "Estimation des reserves et reduction de l'incertitude"; Petrole et Techniques n°423 Nov./Dec. 1999 p37-47
NEVER PUBLISHED ANYWHERE BEFORE! Oil Production Curves for all 42 Countries, by Richard Duncan.
link to THE IMMINENT PEAK OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION, by C.J. Campbell; A Presentation to a House of Commons All-Party Committee on July 7th 1999,
THE WORLD PETROLEUM LIFE-CYCLE: Encircling the Production Peak #3, by Richard Duncan, Institute on Energy and Man, Seattle, WA, 1999.
The Post-Petroleum Paradigm -- and Population, by Walter Youngquist; Population and Environment, March 1999
The Olduvai Theory: Sliding Towards a Post-Industrial Stone Age, by Dr. R. C. Duncan, July 1996
The End of Cheap Oil, by Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherr¨re, Scientific American, 3/98
THE COMING OIL CRISIS, by C. J. Campbell, 1997.
Energy and Human Evolution, by David Price, 1995
Complexity, Problem Solving, and Sustainable Societies, by Joseph A. Tainter, 1996
Evolution of "development lag" and "development ratio", presented at "Oil reserve conference" in Paris November 11, 1997 International Energy Agency, Jean Laherr¨re, Associate consultant Petroconsultants, e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org , site: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere.
Distribution and evolution of "recovery factor", presented at "Oil reserves conference" in Paris November 11, 1997, by International Energy Agency, Jean Laherr¨re, Associate consultant Petroconsultants, e-mail: email@example.com , site: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere
The Impact of Declining Major North Sea Oil Fields Upon Future North Sea Production, by Roger D. Blanchard, Northern Kentucky University.
THE EVOLUTION OF THE WORLD'S HYDROCARBON RESERVES, by J.H. Laherr¨re e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org, lecture given in French on June 17, 1998 in Paris to SPE France
Assessing Oil and Gas Future Production, and the end of Cheap Oil?, by J. H. Laherrere, e-mail: email@example.com, site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere, for Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicists in Calgary April 6, 1999
Reserve Growth: Technological Progress, or Bad Reporting and Bad Arithmetic? by J. H. Laherr¨re; Geopolitics of Energy Issue 22 n°4, p7-16, April 1999
What goes up must come down: when will it peak? by J. H. Laherr¨re Consultant Paris France: e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere
Titanic Sinks, by Jay Hanson, June 24, 1998
GeoDestinies, by Walter Youngquist PhD & Chair Emeritus, Department of Geology, University of Oregon, 1997.
Renewable Energy: Economic and Environmental Issues, by David Pimentel, G. Rodrigues, T. Wane, R. Abrams, K. Goldberg, H. Staecker, E. Ma, L. Brueckner, L. Trovato, C. Chow, U. Govindarajulu, and S. Boerke. (Originally published in BioScience -- Vol. 44, No. 8, September 1994)
eMergy Evaluation, by Howard T. Odum, May 27, 1998
Scientists sense urgency to find future energy sources, Nando Times, October 28, 1998 3:08 p.m
Here We Go Again: The Oil Surplus Won't Last as Long as we Might Wish, by James Srodes, Barrons, Oct 19, 1998
link to Joy Ride to Global Collapse, by Jim Minter (1966)
Life-Expectancy of Industrial Civilization, Robert L. Hickerson, August 2, 1997
WHEN WILL THE JOY RIDE END? Community Office for Resource Efficiency
a snip from ENERGY AND THE ECONOMICS OF SUSTAINABILITY by John Peet; Island Press, 1992.
the prologue to BEYOND OIL: The Threat to Food and Fuel in the Coming Decades. Third Edition (1991) by John Gever, Robert Kaufman, David Skole, Charles Vorosmarty.
Some fear the world may be running out of oil. September 5, 1998, Nando Times.
SPENDING OUR GREAT INHERITANCE -- THEN WHAT? by Walter Youngquist. Geotimes, July 1998, pages 24-26.
link Energy apocalypse looms as the world runs out of oil. Forget the Caspian bonanza! Peter Beaumont and John Hooper in Rome report that producers misled everybody, Sunday July 26, 1998, Observer (london)
link June 15 issue of Forbes! CHEAP OIL: enjoy it while it lasts. p. 84 Franco Bernabe, chief executive of the Italian oil company ENI, sees a global oil production peak and 1970s-style oil shocks beginning between 2000 and 2005.
A Peak Under the Covers, by Jay Hanson, 11/11/97.
The Death of the Oil Economy, by Ted Trainer, Spring, 1997.
Get Ready for Another Oil Shock, by L.F. Ivanhoe, February, 1997.
Future world oil supplies: There is a finite limit. Ivanhoe on Hubbert (1995).
FIVE FUNDAMENTAL ERRORS: The Short Version, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001
FIVE FUNDAMENTAL ERRORS: The Long Version, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001
A SECT WITH A CREED AND A POLITICAL PROGRAM, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001
REACHING FOR HEAVEN ON EARTH, by Robert H. Nelson
A MEANS OF CONTROL, The Last Scheduled BRAIN FOOD, by Jay Hanson, 01/01/00
"The Foulest of Them All", by Jay Hanson, Jan, 1999
MAXIMUM POWER, by Jay Hanson, 01/01/2001
The need to reintegrate the natural sciences into economics, by By Charles Hall 1 , Dietmar Lindenberger 2 , Reiner K¼mmel 3 , Timm Kroeger 1 , and Wolfgang Eichhorn 4, 3/31/2001
Is the Argentine National Economy being destroyed by the Department of Economics of the University of Chicago?, by Charles A. S. Hall, Pablo Daniel Matossian, Claudio Ghersa, Jorge Calvo,Clara Olmedo 3/31/2001
FAITH AND CREDIT: The World Bank's Secular Empire
NEOLIBERAL NOSTRUMS, by Andrew McKillop,
THIS WAY FOR THE GAS, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, by Tadeusz Borowski, # 119198
Los Sangre Es en Tus Manos, by Jay Hanson, April, 1999
Dangerous Currents, by Lester Thurow; Random, 1983
"The Market" is simply "Too Cheap to Meter", by Jay Hanson, 11/01/98
It's the Money, Stupid!, by Jay Hanson, August 10, 1998
Energy and Economic Myths, by Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen (1975)
What is Life?, by Erwin Shr¶dinger. First published in 1944
Lunatic Politics, by Jay Hanson, June 6, 1998
THE ECONOMICS OF THE COMING SPACESHIP EARTH, by Kenneth E. Boulding, 1966
Decision Making and Problem Solving, by Herbert A. Simon and Associates, 1986
Opposing Globalization Could Justify Resource-Based Basic Income, by Mary Lehmann
FREE TRADE - NAFTA - WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING
MYTHS OF THE POLITICAL-ECONOMIC WORLD VIEW, by John Peet, 1992.
Energy, Entropy, Economics, and Ecology defines "entropy" and how it relates to the economy.
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: An Impossibility Theorem, by Herman E. Daly (1993)
A Systems Perspective on the Interrelations Between Natural, human-made, and cultural capital, by Fikret Berkes & Carl Folke, Oct. 1991
THE 4P APPROACH TO DEALING WITH SCIENTIFIC UNCERTAINTY, by Robert Costanza and Laura Cornwell (1992)
THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE, is an alternative to cost/benefit analysis
TOO MANY RICH PEOPLE: Weighing Relative Burdens on the Planet, by Paul Ehrlich (1994)
WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE GDP is a description of the Genuine Progress Indicator-GPI.
STEADY-STATE ECONOMICS: A Catechism of Growth Fallacies, by Herman Daly (1991).
TOWARDS A NEW ECONOMICS: Questioning Growth, by Herman E. Daly, 1971
MONEY AND MAGIC A review of H.C. Binswanger's Money and Magic (A Critique of the Modern Economy in Light of Goethe's Faust) University of Chicago Press. by Herman Daly (Winter, 1996)
SUGARSCAPE A review from SCIENCE NEWS.
OUR PERPETUAL GROWTH UTOPIA by Fred Charles Ikle (1994)
FAREWELL LECTURE TO WORLD BANK, by Herman E. Daly, January 14, 1994
RS AND NAS STATEMENT is the official 1992 statement of the Royal Society and the National Academy of Sciences.
WORLD SCIENTISTS' WARNING TO HUMANITY is from the Union of Concerned Scientists in 1992.
WORLD SCIENTISTS' CALL FOR ACTION AT THE KYOTO CLIMATE SUMMIT
Science Summit" on World Population: A Joint Statement by 58 of the World's Scientific Academies.
ESA Passes Resolution on Human Population from the Ecological Society of America (1994)
ECONOMIST'S STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING Feb. 13, 1997
ECOLOGIST'S STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING May 20, 1997
link to TROUBLED WATERS: A CALL FOR ACTION
FOOD, LAND, WATER AND POPULATION
Humans have destroyed more than 30 per cent of the natural world since 1970 with serious depletion of the forest, freshwater and marine systems on which life depends. [Guardian, 10/2/98]
Age-adjusted mortality in Russia rose by almost 33% between 1990 and 1994.... Russia is not alone in experiencing drops in life expectancy; all the nations created from the break-up of the Soviet Union have reported a decline in life expectancy since 1990, although none has been as large as in Russia. [JAMA. 1998;279:793-800]
Africa is beginning of a full-on Malthusian dieoff. See "Worldwatch Briefing: Sixteen Dimensions of the Population Problem" at http://www.worldwatch.org/alerts/pr98924.html and "Life on Earth is Killing Us" press release at http://www.enn.com/news/enn-stories/1998/10/100298/killingus.asp and study itself is here.
"To put this in context, you must remember that estimates of the long-term carrying capacity of Earth with relatively optimistic assumptions about consumption, technologies, and equity (A x T), are in the vicinity of two billion people. Today's population cannot be sustained on the 'interest' generated by natural ecosystems, but is consuming its vast supply of natural capital -- especially deep, rich agricultural soils, 'fossil' groundwater, and biodiversity -- accumulated over centuries to eons. In some places soils, which are generated on a time scale of centimeters per century are disappearing at rates of centimeters per year. Some aquifers are being depleted at dozens of times their recharge rates, and we have embarked on the greatest extinction episode in 65 million years." Paul Ehrlich (Sept. 25, 1998)
As capitalism fails in more-and-more countries, these countries will disintegrate too. Ultimately of course, this will lead to world wars over natural resources. See Homer-Dixon's work at http://utl2.library.utoronto.ca/www/pcs/tad.htm
Recent Developments in Environmental Sciences, by Paul Ehrlich, Sept. 25, 1998
Revisiting Carrying Capacity, by William E. Rees, 1996
WILL LIMITS OF THE EARTH'S RESOURCES CONTROL HUMAN NUMBERS?, by David Pimentel, O. Bailey, P. Kim, E. Mullaney, J. Calabrese, L. Walman, F. Nelson, and X. Yao; February 25, 1999
Ecology of Increasing Disease, by David Pimentel, October, 1998
THE MASSIVE MOVEMENT TO MARGINALIZE THE MODERN MALTHUSIAN MESSAGE, by Albert A. Bartlett. This is a revised version of an article that was published in The Social Contract Vol. 8, No. 3, Spring 1998, Pgs. 239 - 251
LAND, ENERGY AND WATER: THE CONSTRAINTS GOVERNING IDEAL U.S. POPULATION SIZE, by David Pimentel and Marcia Pimentel (1991)
link to U.S. FOOD PRODUCTION THREATENED BY RAPID POPULATION GROWTH, the Pimentels (1997)
link to Food Security for a Growing World Population 200 Years After Malthus, Still an Unsolved Problem
Optimum Human Population Size, by Gretchen C. Daily
Restoring Value to the WorId's Degraded Lands, by Gretchen C. Daily (1995)
An exploratory model of the impact of rapid climate change on the world food situation, by Grechen C. Daily and Paul R. Ehrlich (1990)
FOOD, LAND, POPULATION and the U.S. ECONOMY-FULL REPORT, by David Pimentel of Cornell University and Mario Giampietro Istituto of Nazionale della Nutrizione, Rome. November 21, 1994
CONSTRAINTS ON THE EXPANSION OF THE GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY, by Henery W Kindall and David Pimentel (1994)
Response to Bartlett and Lytwak (1995): Population and Immigration Policy in the United States , by Anne H. Ehrlich Paul R. Ehrlich
Chronic Famine and the Immorality of Food Aid, by Joseph Fletcher (1991)
THE CORNUCOPIAN FALLACIES, by Lindsey Grant (1992)
IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH ON FOOD SUPPLIES AND ENVIRONMENT, by David Pimentel, Xuewen Huang, Ana Cordova, and Marcia Pimentel (February, 1996)
KERMIT OLSON MEMORIAL LECTURE: Food Supply and World Population, by David Pimentel (March, 6, 1995)
Putting the Bite on Planet Earth, by Don Hinrichson, Oct. 1994
ENERGY AND POPULATION: Transitional Issues and Eventual Limits, by Paul J. Werbos (1993?)
FOOD, LAND, POPULATION and the U.S. ECONOMY-EXECUTIVE SUMMARY, by David Pimentel of Cornell University and Mario Giampietro Istituto of Nazionale della Nutrizione, Rome. Executive Summary Released November 21, 1994
IMMIGRATION: NO. 1 IN U.S. GROWTH New Look Shows Greater Role in 1970-90 Population Increase, by Roy Beck (1991-1992)
THE POPULATION EXPLOSION is from Paul and Anne Ehirlich. This is also where to find JULIAN SIMON'S BET and HIS ULTIMATE RESOURCE
How and Why Journalists Avoid the Population-Environment Connection, by T. Michael Maher, March 1997
Negative Population Growth, by John B. Hall, Sept. 1996
The Food "Surplus": a Staple Illusion of Economics; a Cruel Illusion for Populations, by Jim C. Fandrem, Winter, 1988
Rethinking the Environmental Impacts of Population, Affluence and Technology, by Thomas Dietz and Eugene A. Rosa (1994)
WHY DO WOMEN HAVE BABIES? A book review by Robert A. McConnell (September, 1996)
HOW TO INFLUENCE FERTILITY: The Experience So Far, by John R. Weeks (1990)
THE TIGHTENING CONFLICT: POPULATION, ENERGY USE, AND THE ECOLOGY OF AGRICULTURE, by Mario Giampietro and David Pimentel (1994)
LIVING WITHIN OUR ENVIRONMENTAL MEANS: Natural Resources And An Optimum Human Population, by Rachel F. Preiser (1994)
National Security Study Memorandum 200 April 24, 1974
The 1972 Rockefeller Commission Report on U. S. Population, July, 1969
WHY EXCESS IMMIGRATION DAMAGES THE ENVIRONMENT from Population-Environment Balance (1992)
IMMIGRATION, JOBS & WAGES: The Misuses of Econometrics, by Donald L. Huddle (1992)
IMMIGRATION AND THE U.S. ENERGY SHORTAGE, by Donald Mann, President Negative Population Growth, Inc. (May 1988)
FULL HOUSE is a Worldwatch book review.
THE LAST OASIS is a Worldwatch book review.
NET LOSS is a Worldwatch book review.
TOP OF THE NINTH, by Joel Campbell
James White, co-author of a study published in the journal Science, said that the Antarctica ice cores show a temperature increase of about 20 degrees F within a very short time about 12,500 years ago. .. Ice cores from Greenland, near the Arctic, show that at the same time there was a temperature increase of almost 59 degrees in the north polar region within a 50-year period, White said. [AP, 10/1/98]
The National Climatic Data Center has just announced that last month was the warmest September on record - almost a degree F above the previous record and nearly 4 degrees F above the average. It is the 9th consecutive month to break the previous all-time record. ... there are areas of the Earth, such as the Arctic, where the temperature increase is 3 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit. This is enough to melt permafrost, the permanently frozen ground that characterizes northern tundra bogs. And melting bogs release methane, a greenhouse gas. [UPI, 10/8/98]
U.S. government scientists said this year's €œozone hole€ over Antarctica was the largest ever observed, leaving an atmospheric depletion area greater than the size of North America over the southern land mass. [Nando, 10/7/98]
THE CLIMATE BOMB: Climate Change and the Fate of the Northern Boreal Forests, Greenpeace, 1994
SUDDEN CLIMATE CHANGE THROUGH HUMAN HISTORY, by Jonathan Adams and Randy Foote
Dead on Arrival: positive feedback in the climate system
BP STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING, by John Browne, Group Chief Executive, British Petroleum (BP America) Stanford University, 19 May 1997
THE HEAT IS ON: The warming of the world's climate sparks a blaze of denial, by Ross Gelbspan (12/95).
DEAD. WRONG. Is a short essay on the fundamental errors of industrial society. Also included are some references for OZONE DEPLETION and GLOBAL WARMING.
link to Changes in Time in the Temperature of the Earth
A series of six charts displaying variations in temperature from the Mesozoic to the present, see the web site listed below. The current "blip" is put in perspective, based on the work of a
number of scientists. References are cited.
link to Globally-Averaged Atmospheric Temperatures A brief discussion with figures depicting global lower stratospheric temperature variations during the period 1979 to 1997, based on data
obtained by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration TIROS-N satellite.
link to Questions and Answers On Bio-Warfare/Bio-Terrorism (Q & A) with Dr. Ken Alibek http://www.emergency.com/1999/alibek99.htm
link to "The Bioweaponeers" at http://cryptome.org/bioweap.htm
HEALTH IN THE HOT ZONE How would global warming affect humans? By Richard Monastersky (April, 1996)
DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE, AND THE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT, by Gretchen C. Daily & Paul R. Ehrlich, 1995
link to The Challenge of Antibiotic Resistance Certain bacterial infections now defy all antibiotics. The resistance problem may be reversible, but only if society begins to consider how the drugs affect "good" bacteria as well as "bad", by Stuart B. Levy (Scientific American, 03/98)
link to Drugged Waters Does it matter that pharmaceuticals are turning up in water supplies? by Janet Raloff (Science News 3/21/98)
A General Statement of the Tragedy of the Commons, by Herschel Elliott, Feb. 1997
Christianity and Evolutionary Ethics , by Patricia A. Williams (June 1996)
THE NEED FOR TRANSCENDENCE IN THE POSTMODERN WORLD a short essay by By Vaclav Havel (1994)
OVERSHOOT, the classic by William Catton, 1982.
Ethical Implications of Carrying Capacity , by Garrett Hardin (1977)
CULTURAL CARRYING CAPACITY: A biological approach to human problems, by Garrett Hardin (1986)
THE WORLD'S MOST POLYMORPHIC SPECIES: Carrying capacity transgressed two ways, by William Catton (June 1987).
THE INTRODUCTION, INCREASE, AND CRASH OF REINDEER ON ST. MATTHEW ISLAND - by David R. Klein (April, 1968).
POPULATION POLITICS: The Carrying Capacity of the United States, by Dr. Virginia Abernethy (1993)
HUMAN CARRYING CAPACITY DEFINED defines "carrying capacity".
TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS
West Africa is becoming the symbol of worldwide demographic, environmental, and societal stress, in which criminal anarchy emerges as the real "strategic" danger. Disease, overpopulation, unprovoked crime, scarcity of resources, refugee migrations, the increasing erosion of nation-states and international borders, and the empowerment of private armies, security firms, and international drug cartels are now most tellingly demonstrated through a West African prism. West Africa provides an appropriate introduction to the issues, often extremely unpleasant to discuss, that will soon confront our civilization. ... -- Robert D. Kaplan
Tragedy of the Commons Re-stated, by Jay Hanson, 6/14/97
THE FATAL FREEDOM (the Tragedy of the Commons), by Jay Hanson 8/29/97.
The Tragedy of the Commons (the original) , by Garrett Hardin (1968)
EASTER's END, by Jared Diamond
THE TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS, By Gary W. Harding http://oto.wustl.edu/bbears/trajcom/trajcom.htm
REFLECTIONS ON SUSTAINABILITY, POPULATION GROWTH, AND THE ENVIRONMENT - REVISITED, by Albert A. Bartlett, January 1998
LAWS, HYPOTHESES, OBSERVATIONS AND PREDICTIONS RELATING TO SUSTAINABILITY from Al Bartlett (1994)
The Meaning of Sustainability: Biogeophysical Aspects, by John P. Holdren, Gretchen C. Daily, and Paul R. Ehrlich (1995)
Population, Sustainability, and Earth's Carrying Capacity: A framework for estimating population sizes and lifestyles that could be sustained without undermining future generations , by Gretchen C. Daily and Paul R. Ehrlich (1992)
Three General Policies to Achieve Sustainability , by Robert Costanza (1994).
Sustainable Development. Conventional versus Emergent Alternative Wisdom, by David Korten (1996).
SUSTAINABLE ENGINEERING: Resource Load Carrying Capacity and Kphase Technology, by Peter Hartley (1993)
Socioeconomic Equity: A Critical Element in Sustainability, by Gretchen C. Daily & Paul R. Ehrlich (Feb, 1995)
Foreclosing the future, by Gretchen C. Daily (Nov. 1995)
UNSUSTAINABILITY: A CONSENSUS is a short piece by Paul Ekins about unsustainability.
CREATING JOBS IN A SUSTAINABLE WORLD, by Nadia Steinzor - ZPG Reporter (Sept/Oct, 1996)
GREENING THE CORPORATION, by Ward Morehouse. Address to the Greens Gathering, Los Angeles, August 16, 1996
THE LANGUAGE OF ECOLOGY defines "overshoot", crash" and "die-off".
HUMAN APPROPRIATION OF THE PRODUCTS OF PHOTOSYNTHESIS, by Peter Vitousek, Paul R. Ehrlich, Anne H. Ehrlich and Pamela Matson (1986).
The Patch Disturbance Species, by John Logan, Jan. 2, 1997.
AMERICA'S TREES ARE DYING, by Charles E. Little (1995)
WHAT DANGERS LIE AHEAD? by James E. Lovelock (1994)
RETURN OF THE GROUP: People may have evolved to further collective as well as individual interests, by Bruce Bower (1995)
POSITIVE FEEDBACK is an example of the catastrophic view.
URBAN DYNAMICS a short clip from a book by Jay Forrester (1969)
Rewards of Pejoristic Thinking, by Garrett Hardin (1977)
WHO BENEFITS? WHO PAYS?. by Garrett Hardin (1985)
An Ecolate View of the Human Predicament. by Garrett Hardin(date ?)
The Problem of Induction, by Sir Karl Popper (1953, 1974)
URBAN DYNAMICS a few quotes from Jay W. Forrester.
LIMITS TO GROWTH discusses the Club of Rome's seminal work.
ODDS AND ENDS
"a kind of Pontius Pilate feeling" -- by Jay Hanson, 04/01/97
In this essay, I examine the economic model of "rational man" and how the model legitimizes prevailing public policy. "Rational man" supposedly weighs the important, known variables and then makes that decision which is most likely to achieve the desired end (the greatest "utility"). Thus, we can say that public policy is founded on the notion that people calculate the utility of each decision, somewhat like a computer.
Phillip Morris: "Smoking is a personal choice, and so is quitting."
But modern cognitive science has shown that people do not make decisions by calculating the utility of each decision. Thus, economic "rational man" is a fraud that leaves the public exposed to ongoing economic and political exploitation by corporate media experts. Moreover, this fraud provides economists and political leaders with effective "moral cover", or in the words of Adolph Eichmann, "a kind of Pontius Pilate feeling" that leaves them free of all guilt for their dirty deeds.
KNOW THYSELF -- A Report of the Dominant Animal Life on the Third Planet: Executive Summary, by Yaj, January 24, 1997.
Requiem, by Jay Hanson, Feb, 20, 1998
WHERE WILL IT END? by Jay Hanson.
SYSTEMS CRASH provides three different sources-using three different data sets-showing a worldwide includes a table showing review on WHO WILL FEED CHINA , a press THE COLLAPSE OF THE WORLD'S FISHERIES , an article on FISH FARMING, a short release on THE EARTH'S CARRYING CAPACITY , a clip from THE COMING ANARCHY , and a discussion of NPP .
CORPORATE RULE gives a short history of the modern corporation and describes its essential functions. It also contains a book review of WHEN CORPORATIONS RULE THE WORLD by David Korten.
ENDING CORPORATE GOVERNANCE: We The People Revoking Our Plutocracy.
THE COMING ANARCHY, by Robert D. Kaplan, The Atlantic Monthly, February 1994. Quicktime Movie of Dead Babies Being Thrown Into a Dump Truck CNN, November 1996 [ Download the Quicktime Movie Player from Apple ]
Rural Rwanda Faces Uneasy Balance of Fear as Refugees Return New York Times, December 26, 1996.
ELEVEN INHERENT RULES OF CORPORATE BEHAVIOR is a short essay by Jerry Mander.
ELECTRONIC HEROIN is about the addictive qualities of television.
TV MUTANTS is about how television alters the human brain.
BRAINWASHING is about how television influences human actions.
WARREN CHRISTOPHER ON U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL DIPLOMACY (1996)
UNDERWEIGHTING OF BASE-RATE INFORMATION REFLECTS IMPORTANT DIFFICULTIES PEOPLE HAVE WITH PROBABILISTIC INFERENCE by Robert M. Ham (1994)
VICE PRESIDENT GORE CALLS FOR "ENVIRONMENTAL REPORT CARD" Challenges Federal Agencies, Scientific Community To Monitor Nation',s Ecosystems from The White House (1996)